What is Reddit's opinion of Tell Me The Odds: A 15 Page Introduction To Bayes Theorem?

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I get that. It's definitely an adjustment, but with some effort you can get there.

Bayesian thinking is a bit of an interest of mine, so I'll pass along some other resources I've found helpful over the years:

• https://www.amazon.com/Tell-Me-Odds-Introduction-Theorem-ebook/dp/B075MXXTGX
• https://plusevanalytics.wordpress.com/2021/02/26/building-a-bayesian-model-part-1/ (uses NBA defensive shooting percentages)
• https://nbviewer.jupyter.org/github/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/blob/master/Chapter1_Introduction/Ch1_Introduction_PyMC3.ipynb (Just this chapter — the later stuff is more advanced)
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4WVelCswXo4&list=PLDcUM9US4XdNM4Edgs7weiyIguLSToZRI ("Statistical Rethinking" lecture series by Richard McElreath. There's also a textbook to go along with it. Might be my favorite resource on this list. Really good if you're comfortable with frequentist methods and trying to learn more about Bayesian methods.)

Feel free to DM or (better yet) post over in r/BettingModels if you run into any really tricky stuff.

Good luck!