They are obviously building at a much faster rate, but they have a long ways to catch up. However, comparing the total naval strength of both nations would be misleading, as the US will never concentrate all its forces in the West Pacific, it simply has too many commitments elsewhere.
If you really want to learn about the subject in detail, I highly recommend this book. It is the best source on the topic for a layperson that I know of.
As I wrote in another comment in this thread, it was the dictatorship Taiwan was ruled by at the time that created the situation you absolutely correctly labeled as nonsense.
Regarding however the idea that it supposedly will be under the PRC control in a decade or two, I'd like to recommend you this fine book. It shows that the situation is not so simple and there is a real chance for you to actually have a beaver felt dinner as you suggested.
I recommend for those interested to read Ian Easton's book on this very topic . Goes into great detail on how Taiwan has been preparing for decades a potential Chinese invasion.
If anyone is interested in this topic further, there's a really good book on exactly this topic:
If you think that the US would be at a naval and air disadvantage, you’re genuinely too ignorant about the military situation to be worth discussing this with. Educate yourself before you continue opining without any real grasp of the situation at hand.
It is tough to summarize succinctly. The book goes into great detail and is a long but good read.
In general though, it takes the opinion that blockade and bombardment (with aircraft, missiles, rockets, etc.) might be enough to force an outright Taiwanese Surrender and make landings unnecessary this is highly unlikely in the view of PRC planners. Domestic and international reprecussions of a long bombardment of the island might prove uniquely dangerous to China. An intense, protracted bombardment would probably stoke the fires of Taiwanese nationalism rather than snuff them out (like a modern day Battle of Britain) so a pre-invasion bombardment should be equal parts short and intense.
The Chinese attacks would focus on early warning networks, communication systems, command and control nodes and would probably need to focus on those things. Of course, the Taiwanese have had decades to think and prepare for all of this and likely have a great degree of redundancy and resiliency for anything that is probably going to be targeted. China's going to get some of their targets through mass and concentration... but probably not all of them.
It's tough to summarize. It was a long, thick read but is pretty interesting. I'd recommend it if you want to get really into the weeds. 8 Bucks on Kindle, haha. #HailCorporate
Dunno where you're getting this 2-wwek idea. Your information may be outdated. This book is based on the most up to date analysis from military experts on both sides. It doesn't mention that at all, but does state that in most scenarios run by the military, Taiwan emerges the victor. https://www.amazon.com/Chinese-Invasion-Threat-American-Strategy/dp/1546353259
I mean I've done a lot of research into this topic for past few years, so unfortunately lotta sources just melt together in my brain after a while. In regards to the RAND stuff, most of that comes from here, a airdefense evaluation and recommendation study from 2016 or so.
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1051.html
And then other biggest source is Ian Eastons "Chinese invasion threat" which provides a lot of information about the situation militarily for both sides.
https://www.amazon.com/Chinese-Invasion-Threat-American-Strategy/dp/1546353259
https://www.amazon.com/Chinese-Invasion-Threat-American-Strategy/dp/1546353259
This is one of the most interesting things I’ve read in a long time. Not nearly as easy for china as it seems to Invade taiwan.