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>For a maths subject in my engineering degree we had to do an assignment on probability. I really enjoy sport, so i wanted to see if i could make an algorithm using people to determine the outcome of sporting events (initially to prove to my friends that i could). So the assignment is due on the 30th of July, so i really want to hopefully get it to work for some underdogs to prove to my professor that it actually works.
>How does it work?
>The process is very simple, I give the scenario to the population, for example "Texas Rangers (C Hamels) At New York Yankees (C Sabathia)". Then people will vote on the H2H, determining whether the Rangers will win, both teams will draw, or the Yankees will win. Initially the results will not be precise due to a lack of people that will contribute, therefore the more people that use this, the more accurate it will become. After you have voted on the outcome, the algorithm will kick in (at the moment it is very basic).
>After the outcome of a game, if you voted correctly on the outcome, you 'vote' will no longer be worth 1 but instead 1.01 (increasing by 1%), likewise if you predict incorrectly your vote will only be worth 0.99. Therefore, the more people that participate in this experiment, and the effect of the algorithm in weighting each applicant, the more accurate we will become at predicting the outcome of sporting events.
>To make it really easy to access I got a friend to make it into a mobile app for android. So if you could please use it and tell your other sport interested friends to use it that would help me out significantly, and hopefully if it becomes accurate enough it will help you out as well!
>Download for mobile app: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.ionicframework.collective154704&hl=en
Hey guys, if you're in testing out a new APP to predict sports outcomes have a read.
What we have created is an app using swarm intelligence for the sole purpose of predicting sport outcomes.
What is currently has on it: Euro 2016, AFL, eSports
First update: Adding an elo rating system to give people who perform better at predicting outcomes more weight and influence when they continue to vote.
Second update: Incorporating the swarm intelligence predictions into an algorithm which all get transferred into probabilities through normal distribution using standard deviation.
The more people that use this, the more information I can get and therefore adjust my algorithms accordingly. This release is essentially an open beta testing and it would be excellent if you could provide feedback and tell your friends about it. After all, if this becomes accurate I hope that it will help everybody here.
Download on the google play store: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.ionicframework.collective154704&hl=en
Get the app here: