Looking for contributors! Obviously I make the majority of posts in this sub, but I'm really not doing anything special or difficult.
Me/this sub is just a middle man that posts the high quality content made by other actual economists and finance professionals. The sidebar has a large number of these sources collected, and putting these sources all in one place that is easy to find is probably the biggest benefit this sub provides.
I welcome anyone who feels especially motivated to make any post any time. There truly is a wealth of high quality commentary that the pros pump out every day, and it's just more than I can create threads for as a single person.
Plus I have other ideas for posts, which I (or anyone) could do if I spent less time on commentary posts ...
These might go a bit beyond the original purpose of the sub, which is to post commentary that discusses either (1) how the economy is doing, or (2) how the economy will be doing, but I think they could add value if there is demand for them
I wouldn't be too surprised if we end up seeing the 5yr UST at 5% 5 years from now. There's a 1.2 to 1.9 trillion stimulus package on the way, banks balance sheets are better than ever and can quickly invest, household savings are near an all-time high, there are a lot of expectations for consumers to spend a lot in the latter half of 2021 into 2022 as a result of the pandemic ending.
Goldman Sachs recently had a podcast discussing inflation and how it might affect the equity/bond markets: https://castbox.fm/episode/Markets-Update%3A-Inflation-and-Equities-id2170350-id356915303?country=us
<em>Sinews of Power</em> is an excellent book on this subject. It's a bit dry -- lots about the decline of land taxes in favor of excises -- but it's about the development of a state capable of borrowing at scale in England in the 18th century.
<em>The Rise of Fiscal States</em> is a similar book for many other countries, but not quite as well written.
This is showing that humidity and heat is projected to reduce transmission by 50%.