Link to Johns Hopkins Center For Science and Engineering. It provides infographics, maps, statistics for Covid-19 cases globally, for all countries. There's a significant difference in infections, rates of recovery, and deaths across various countries. Better responses are getting better results. This information is continuously updated.
Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University
No he didn't.
>Coronavirus vs. Flu Deaths
>COVID-19: There have been approximately 1,584,788 deaths reported worldwide. In the U.S, 292,195 people have died of COVID-19 between January 2020 and December 11, 2020.*
>Flu: The World Health Organization estimates that 290,000 to 650,000 people die of flu-related causes every year worldwide.
>The COVID-19 situation is changing rapidly. Since this disease is caused by a new virus, the vast majority of people do not yet have immunity to it, and a vaccine may be many months away. Doctors and scientists are working to estimate the mortality rate of COVID-19, but at present, it is thought to be substantially higher (possibly 10 times or more) than that of most strains of the flu.
>*This information comes from the Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases map developed by the Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering.
From the same article ^
Data is pulled directly from ArcGIS which supplies data to John Hopkins and other websites. World o meter is not reliable for most up to date case count.
DPH has extremely odd data that doesn't match other sources. If you compare it to GA's data here, which combines data from many sources, you can see that our case load is still increasing and, though the rate of increase is lower than it was earlier, the earlier data was noisy, the rate is still increasing, and we do not remotely meet the 14-day criteria set by the White House, which is the absolute bare minimum before states should consider reopening.
My point is: Something is wrong with DPH data. Other, reliable data sources disagree strongly with it. The governor is ignoring this. People are going to die because of it.
Well in case you even bothered reading the article beyond the part which suits your agenda.
From the same article you cited.
In case you suck at mathematics, which I am 100% sure you do, COVID-19 has had 2 times the deaths than by flu. As many people have died of COVID in the US as the lower limit for flu deaths, worldwide.
They also have more tests per capita than any other country, so that'd make sense. They've tested 10% of their population (as of April 10), compared to, for instance, the US, which has tested less than 1%.
Src on 10%: [link]
Src on <1%: [link]
Are you fucking kidding me?
Why should you know who's sick or who isn't? Have you heard of HIPPA? Do you really expect people to be broadcasting this out?
Holy shit 12,000 new confirmed cases in the past 2 hours per Johns Hopkins. We knew this would happen, but it’s surreal to actually witness it happening.
No its not, idiot. Do the math.
Edit as of April 14:
US: 328 Million People, 582594 Cases / 23649 Deaths
Spain, Italy, UK, France, Germany and Belgium combined Population: 334 Million, 720655 Cases / 72205 Deaths
Hi there! I see you are trying to get statistics about a state or country's number of positive coronavirus tests.
There are several ways to get this information without annoying the hell out of everybody else in this thread! Check out this site, for instance, or this one.
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You can’t compare COVID-19 to WWII.
We destroyed our competitors supply chains.
We as a nation sacrificed 405K men who would have returned to the workforce, to the meat grinder of war.
Globally none of our competitors factories have been destroyed and globally we’ve only, so far, lost 133K.
Yes, we’ve seen the importance of Instacart, Healthcare workers and other seemingly non-essential-essential workers. But what happens to the perceived importance of these professions when everyone returns to work?
In my estimation everything returns to normal. If they expect a labor movement, they better strike now while everyone’s quarantined.
Yes the UK is handling it so well.
The UK has 99455 Cases, 12892 Deaths - almost a 13% Mortality Rate
The US has 609995 Cases - 26229 Deaths, a Mortality rate of only around 4,3%
So shove your UK Healthcare up your crooked teethed ass because its clearly dogshit.
Here's the livemap I've been using. It updates pretty frequently. It shows how many confirmed cases, deceased, recovered, and active cases there are.
The numbers in this tweet aren't completely accurate but the point still remains. America has over 11000 times as many reported cases as Vietnam (about 1/5 of the ratio in this tweet, still quite a lot) but only 3.5 times the population.
I use the John Hopkins website as I believe it is the most accurate measure we have.
Hes doing great
Here is an interactive COVID-19 Map. That map shows how great the US is doing if you consider the other Countries size compared to the US. Dont listen to Liberal Fearmonger and Fake News. KAG!
I live in WA state and have seen anecdotes about people with symptoms not being tested because the CDC has botched test kit development and the current protocol is to only test people who have traveled internationally in the past 14 days. So I'd take the numbers with a grain of salt.
That said, here's another source for you:
I'm in Melbourne (Victoria, Australia) where lockdown 2 has started. More home schooling. Only leave home for food, medical, exercise. No visitors at home. Stay at home. Do not pass go. Do not collect $200.
Why are we in lockdown #2? Cos the people hired to keep those in quarantine decided to root them, take them to 7/11 for smokes, instead of - you know - doing their job. Community transmissions went boom.
Could be much worse so no complaining.
COVID-19: There have been approximately 555,486 deaths reported worldwide. In the U.S, 133,291 people have died of COVID-19, as of July 10, 2020.*
Flu: The World Health Organization estimates that 290,000 to 650,000 people die of flu-related causes every year worldwide.
In the U.S., from Oct. 1, 2019 – Apr. 4, 2020, the CDC estimates that 24,000 to 62,000 people died from the flu. (The CDC does not know the exact number because the flu is not a reportable disease in most parts of the U.S.)
The COVID-19 situation is changing rapidly. Since this disease is caused by a new virus, people do not have immunity to it, and a vaccine may be many months away. Doctors and scientists are working to estimate the mortality rate of COVID-19, but at present, it is thought to be substantially higher than that of most strains of the flu.
*This information comes from the Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases map developed by the Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering.
0.1% for the normal flu.
This coronavirus strain (which is not the flu, by the way) is very easy to spread, days before you show any symptoms you can spread it. And it is 10 times more deadly than a normal flu. So instead of 1 death per 1000 cases, it is 10 per 1000 or 1 in 100.
And the older you are, the deadlier it is. For the young, there may be mild or almost no symptoms, and then they hug Grandpa who ends up in ICU. If they have room.
Also, [link] has good numbers, and is usually up to date. You can zoom in and see local areas.
The swine flu infected 60 million worldwide, and only killed about 0.02%, less than the normal flu. The bad part was it was VERY contagious.
CV19 has this potential - but at a 1-2% fatality rate, 60 million infected means 600,000 - 1,200,000 dead.
> a massive or major increase in Covid deaths that were associated with people holding a BBQ in their yard with friends and family on the 4th of July?
it takes literally seconds to google and see that there was indeed a large increase in cases as well as deaths during july of last year.
Just re-posting in case no one has seen this. It's a continuously updated map showing the spread of the virus globally.
What's interesting with the US is that despite the size of the population and the freedom of movement they have, the number of infections is not growing as rapidly as in other countries I expect the number to go up quite a bit, but with proper measures put in place and people being cautious, we can mitigate much of the impact.
I don't know whether you're stupid, pretending to be stupid, or just being a jackass. But if you have any interest at all in tracking what's going, you can right here -- the death toll is almost in real time via Johns Hopkins.
For those who want a quick and easy snapshot of #of cases/deaths in various areas, this Link from Johns Hopkins is pretty handy.
Note: I did not read the News Corpse article cause fuck Murdoch.
Does Australia not also have cases of Coronavirus? In fact, according to the WHO's latest figures, there are more cases in Australia than Thailand (Source: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6)
What exactly is suspicious about their tickets? Watching her speak about it, it's not clear if she purchased these tickets and the flights were cancelled as she talks about the frustration in having flights cancelled.
There's no date on when Coronavirus will die down. In fact all experts and organisations say we haven't yet reached the peak.
Is there any evidence this student received money from the University?
Math of total cases and total deaths illustrates 2.6860 %
But, if you take number of deaths against number of recovered, 31,897,793 that is 3.63%
However, the death is probably dropping as more preparation and treatments became available.
I got you fam.
These are from yesterday(5/8), I didn't pull numbers yet today. All from here and then I put them in excel
US has a Mortality rate of less than 6%
UK has a Morality rate of almost 15%
France has a Morality rate of almost 15%
You can do the math for the rest
US also leads the World with almost 8 Million tested
Haha, but we could make the data more accessible for everyone, like a worldwide map for Mormonism like the JHU Covid-19 one, and it can show the worse infected areas, number of new daily cases, and also how many people have recovered! :)
What you're saying isn't supported by data. COVID is 22x more deadly than seasonal flu if you do the math.
As of 4/15, COVID for US is 26k deaths and 611k cases per John Hopkins data. That's a mortality rate of about 4.3%.
Now per the CDC website, even if you take the most aggressive seasonal flu deaths 62,000 / 39,000,000 = 0.2%.
4.3% (COVID) > 0.2% (seasonal flu)
See below for my sources referenced:
Hmm, looks like Walmart is NOT the place to be currently.. :)
Going to throw this in here also, kinda a different perspective dashboard..
Another enlightened centrist... That isn't how the math works. You don't get to just pick arbitrary, or completely make up numbers.
Latest data from John Hopkins puts this at 181,562 confirmed cases globally. Total deaths are 7,183 and 78,939 recovered, also all globally.
So that's a mortality rate, best case scenario (# deaths / total cases) with current numbers, of 3.96%. This is significantly more than smallpox. Car fatalities are a laughable comparison; they hover around 0.05% currently, or half as deadly as the flu.
But that math is also wrong IMO, purely from a data analytics perspective. So grain of salt, as the official mortality rate is at 3.9%:
IMO you actually want to measure against the number of cases that have run their course (# deaths / (# deaths + # recovered)). Current numbers put that at a 8.34% mortality rate.
Now there are other factors, such as the demographics that are most susceptible to this are also the weakest. Basically if you are under 40 you have as good a chance of dying from the flu.. 60+ sees mortality rates of over 8%.
This seems to be because right now it's predominantly hitting older individuals or those with resperatory issues already. The measures people are taking to isolate are slowing the spread so hopefully the mortality rate stays down near 3.9% and not closer to 8.3%
Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV)
Just keep an eye on that. I wish there were a time lapse animation for it.
In the prior decade or so, we've had so many viruses with epidemic potential be successfully contained by authorities. This one was not contained.
That doesn't mean that there's going to be severe outbreaks in every community or even state in the USA. There will be hotspots of infections, and areas that hardly see anything at all.
How "serious" this is, depends on how lucky you are, and how healthy/old the people you care about are.
/u/troycalm /u/Splickity-Lit Where do you get that 1.5% number? The CDC, JHU, and NYTimes all have the US's death rate 4.3-4.4%. Are you alright with handwaving away the deaths of 130,000 Arkansans?
France, Spain, and Italy combine to 750k infections, a little over a third of the number of infections in the US.
Spain infections per capita: 5.153 per thousand
Italy infections per capita: 3.897 per thousand
France infections per capita: 2.855 per thousand
US infections per capita: 5.976 per thousand
So no, we're still doing worse than those three nations by every metric.
calculations based on reported number of cases as shown on the Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard
You were apparently not paying attention.
There was a massive spike in new cases in Wisconsin about two weeks after the election. (screenshot via Johns Hopkins GIS visualizer for COVID-19)
But, thanks to the ongoing social distancing measures, that spike was not able to transform into a renewal of the previous exponential growth (the growth was exponential, but it was at a much lower factor).
This is different. This is everyone just rushing back out into contact and remaining that way. Just mathematically speaking, we should expect the exact same bump as before, but that bump in new cases should continue to compound as those new cases continue to mingle with others.
This will get much worse before it gets better, and unfortunately, it will create a reservoir so that as other states and Canada slowly and cautiously come out of isolation, states like Wisconsin will keep pushing new infections into their populations. :-(
As of Yesterday:
The UK has 125856 Cases, 16550 Deaths - over 13% Mortality Rate
The US has 788920 Cases - 42458 Deaths, a Mortality rate of less than 5,5%
US: 328 Million People, 788920 Cases / 42458 Deaths - ~5,5% Mortality rate
Spain, Italy, UK, France, Germany and Belgium combined Population: 334 Million, 856306 Cases / 93107 Deaths ~10,5% Mortality Rate
Facts brought to you by the JHU Interactive Map, the most updated and Accurate COVID-19 Source.
In other words: [link]
US is now leading in confirmed Covid-19 cases at 83,507 cases - https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
Do you guys have any fucking brain cells!? We will not see the peak of this for a couple weeks... we’re all either getting sick, or going to spread the sickness. Some of your parents and grandparents will get very sick. STOP only listening to trump & listen to the doctors and scientists of our country. It’s a medical emergency, trump is only pulling us (or attempting) to pull us out of the economical emergency. And injecting money, is only a temporary fix to a serious problem.
With that being said I have a shit ton of puts but just some of them
Spy 215p 4/9 | Dis 3/27 96p | AAPL 4/9 220p | Tqqq 4/9 35p
This map has it. Or John Hopkins one but JH one doesn't have color grading so it's hard to see which state has it
The correlation between Covid-19 cases is not by political party, it's by population density.
Governor party map
Population density map
The pandemic is not a partisan issue and I can't stand people trying to make it one. This is a failure of our government and people as a whole fighting with each other instead of trusting and taking the advice of scientists and medical professionals.
In the US,
Annual avg deaths by flu is 37,461. ^1
COVID-19 deaths are currently 145,556. ^2
COVID-19 is already nearly 4x as deadly as the flu average and we're only halfway through 2020.
Number 1 baby! I knew we could do it
From doing the math on the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus dashboard. Rest in peace to the people I'm about to talk about.
1.4% came from South Korea a week ago. South Korea has had the most extensive testing and containment done of all and successfully flattened the curve - they are the best case scenario. They are now at 111/8,961 as of today, which is still 1.2% mortality rate.
Meanwhile, Italy - they have to choose who gets a hospital bed and who doesn't. They could not keep their hospitals from being overwhelmed. Italy is at 6,077/63,927, 9.5% mortality rate.
I thought we were only 10-11 days behind Italy on the rate of new cases increase? This was my memory from an interview with an epidemiologist. I've been following the case number and outcome changes daily on these two sites, and some of the data is pretty terrifying. I guess there isn't much difference between 11 and 20 days.
Every week has many more infections than the week before. And 97.6% of our (USA) cases are still active - in other words they have neither recovered nor died. Yet. The critical cases are in the hospital a long time before they are resolved.
They are not really fear mongering. They are simply trying to ensure it does not spread in a university campus. The student came back from Italy where there are already more than 1k reported cases and possibly hundreds more unreported. There have already been 20 reported cases and that number is going up as people who come back from vacation are using public tansit. We know the virus spreads much more easily than the flu which means that it's even harder to contain it. Saying that it's extremely unlikely provides a false sense of security and every case must be handled with care or you risk disaster. The numbers are there to prove it. You can see that it's 23 times more deadly than the flu which means that it's clearly not something turn a blind eye towards.
> a disease with lower mortality than seasonal influenza.
I'll say this nice and slow so you're able to understand. That...is....not....true.
Here is some data to teach yourself what's going on in the adult world and not your made up fantasy land.
COVID-19: There have been approximately 2,229,601 deaths reported worldwide. In the U.S, 441,331 people have died of COVID-19 between January 2020 and February 1, 2021.*
Flu: The World Health Organization estimates that 290,000 to 650,000 people die of flu-related causes every year worldwide.
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 if you want to see more data.
I'm sorry, but I'd have to disagree.
We are 4th in the number of cases so far and the daily cases have been on an upward surge for 3 weeks now with an average of 10k new cases per day. The daily cases is trending up every day. The government started off on a good note in implementing a strict lockdown, but have dropped the ball when it comes to testing and restricting community transmission. Particularly the state governments in many states have been incompetent.
Add to that, the testing numbers per million are among the lowest and hundreds of deaths have not been accounted for. This is also the reason why a lot of states, including my home state TG have appeared to be doing fine.
Granted we are a densely populated country, but I wouldn't call that not bad. I would say we're fucked, until a vaccine is discovered and could be mass distributed.
You could look at the daily case numbers here: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
You can get that same data here:
Select the US in the top left, then the bottom right can be blown up to give you a daily chart like you see here.
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>Vaccines are being formulated.
They will take more than a year.
>Treatments, also, are being tested and one or some of them may well ease the severity of the infection.
No evidence yet that they will.
Meanwhile the people who have Lupus who rely on chloroquine can't get it because people have been buying it up only to end up damaging themselves.
The point of test should be (as it was successfully done in South Korea) to place on quarantine anyone infected so that the rest of society could go to work.
As of right now South Korea has 10,694 confirmed cases and 238 dead.
So, you may be right. We may be beyond caring (as many people out protesting appear to be), but we need to know where we stand to plan for what comes next.
You can see the total tests performed here.
According to arcgis we just passed 1 million infected.
The US is at 190,000 infected right now. The world is approaching one million and it only left China two months ago.
It doesn't spread linearly. It spreads exponentially. It doubles and doubles and doubles. In the next two weeks you will see what I am talking about.
Most up to date website and it now shows counties in each state
Seeing all these super remote islands with confirmed infections on the tracker map makes me think society as we know it might actually be doomed.
I'm using the John Hopkins map. Right now NCDHHS shows 137 confirmed, where John Hopkins states 155.
COVID-19 tracking map
According to this John Hopkins Tracker, it already has. WHO info is out of date, of course.
GO TEAM REST-OF-WORLD - showing China who's boss!!1!!1 /s
An online dashboard for tracking the worldwide spread of the coronavirus outbreak:
Best information dashboards I've found:
Johns Hopkins world-wide: [link]
Animated global spread: [link]
It’s more of the fact that it’s already here, and widespread across the US. If the US had no cases and it had spread across Europe, it’d be a moderately reasonable way to try to stop it from entering the US. But, there are already over 1300 cases in the US, so banning flights to Europe seems like putting a bandaid on a gunshot wound. It’s inevitable at this point that it’s going to spread across the US, so there’s not much a travel ban can really do.
Plus he didn’t ban travel from the UK so Europeans trying to get into the US can just go EU -> UK -> US which makes it kind of pointless.
Now, now. Svenktr has a point:
There are approximately 7,800,000,000 people globally, which means that confirmed cases account for .00014 of the population.
The United States currently 604 cases, with 22 deaths and 8 recoveries.
There are approximately 330,000,000 people in the US, with confirmed cases being .0000018 of the population.
While it is certainly contagious and will most likely spread, household mishaps, cardiovascular and other diseases, the odd traffic accident, and, of course, the flu, remain far more deadly and part of everyday life.
Why, then, are store shelves void of certain items now, and the market diving? Media sensationalism and the ill-informed getting their so-called “news” from these sources (and social media) rather than the original or objective sources like the WHO, and Johns Hopkins, where the above data was gleaned:
The stock-market's steep slide comes after a production dispute between OPEC members, led by Saudi Arabia, and Russia sent West Texas Intermediate crude oil, the U.S. benchmark, plunging by as much as 33.8 percent, the most since the outbreak of the 1991 Persian Gulf War, to a low of $27.34 a barrel in overnight trading. After a small rebound, WTI was trading down 21.4 percent at $32.42 a barrel.
This from the WSJ and also reported by Al Jazeera, among others.
Either way, calm down and wash those hands!
It's increasing quickly in other European countries as well. If spread occurs rapidly as I've noticed statistically, it's possible Italy is only a few weeks ahead of where other countries including the US could be. I use the Johns Hopkins virus map and a spreadsheet to track confirmed cases in counties and countries of interest to me. It helps to get a quantitative look rather than relying upon the bombardment of news sources.
Third best, I think.
California and New York have Texas beat for total covid deaths. Florida has ~15000 to catch Texas.
Texas has less than 2000 to make it into second, and a bit over 11000 to take first.
> Japan is catching up, though.
The fuck are you talking about? Japan reported ~3,300 new cases yesterday, the US ~180,000. Johns Hopkins dashboard. Not to mention Japan is a much more densely populated country.
> Korea only admitted the most severely ill in to hospitals which helped reduce spread.
That logic doesn't make any sense, especially considering how you conveniently omitted the parts of the sentence that would help reduce spread:
> and they used aggressive early contact tracing and extensive laboratory testing.
Side note: That page from WCAX-TV adds nothing of value; here's the Johns Hopkins COVID-19 GIS dashboard WCAX embedded in their page:
> As many people died.
LOL no. Flu deaths here. Covid deaths are at 245,646 and counting at about 1,000 cases per day.
Yup I knew you’d try that. Again misinformation.
That Iink shows the current death rate with ALL the safeguards being implemented. It doesn’t show the mortality rate of the virus.
Here look at this [link] from the same website. This shows the death rate of states when they opened, which predictably is the death rate. What you need to be looking for is the MORTALITY rate of the virus, which is the total number of deaths divided over the sum of the total number of RESOLVED cases plus death cases and THATS how you get the mortality rate.
Here [link] I’ll update with the actual mortality rate in a few.
This is a good one, not sure if it is exactly what you're looking for...
I also know of one that is done on Tableau that gives rolling 7 day case counts, testing, positivity rates by every state and the USA total. You might Google and find (it's bookmarked on my laptop, which I don't have access to at the moment)
> Data from the group show that although younger children have lower numbers of the virus receptor than older children and adults, this does not correlate with a decreased viral load. According to the authors, this finding suggests that children can carry a high viral load, meaning they are more contagious, regardless of their susceptibility to developing COVID-19 infection. ^1
Global deaths confirmed to date caused by COVID-19: 807,134 ^2 This is the equivalent to seventeen 737 airplanes crashing every day since January 1st until today, killing 200 passengers each. 17 a day. SEVENTEEN.
So yeah, it's important that people wear their fucking masks and not kill even more people needlessly.
> California [...] rates are worse than Florida
1.62% of FL's population is confirmed positive (350,047 / 21.48mil).
0.979% of CA's population is confirmed positive (386,906 / 39.51mil).
The flu is caused by many different pathogens, which is why there are more cases of it. Covid 19 is caused by one.
Many people are immune to pathogens that cause the flu, since it has been around for centuries. No one is immune to Covid 19, since it is a brand new (novel) virus.
The flu has vaccines that address it, Covid 19 does not.
Covid 19 has been shown to cause lasting damage to the lungs, heart and other internal organs that can follow you to the end of your shortened life.
Doctors and scientists are working to estimate the mortality rate of COVID-19, but at present, it is thought to be substantially higher than that of most strains of the flu.
Source: Johns Hopkins
Not sure where you get your numbers from, but official numbers concerning coronavirus deaths alone are already near 500 000 deaths.
The US death rate is around 6%. That's 30 people of 500.
94k deaths and 1.577 million cases is 6%.
Johns Hopkins University
93k deaths and 1.551 million cases is 6%.
94k deaths and 1.584 million cases is 6%.
Maybe if trumptards like you knew things you'd be scared too.
Case in point, Texas was starting to level off in terms of new cases per day, but now is rising again.
Maryland continues to rise as well.
You can look at each state individually by going here:
Edit: NBC News has the same data, but broken out on the same page: [link]
The UK has 166441 Cases, 26166 Deaths - almost a 16% Mortality Rate
Spain has 236899 Cases, 24275 Deaths - Over 10% Mortality Rate
France has 166543 Cases, 24121 Deaths - Over 14% Mortality Rate
Italy has 203591 Cases, 27682 Deaths - almost 14% Mortality Rate
The US has 1039909 Cases - 60966 Deaths, a Mortality rate of less than 5,9%
US: 328 Million People, 1039909 Cases / 60966 Deaths - ~less than 5,9% Mortality rate
Spain, Italy, UK, France, Germany and Belgium combined Population: 334 Million, 982872 Cases / 116212 Deaths, almost ~12% Mortality Rate
If the UK had the Population of the United States, their Death Toll would be over 128213 right now.
US: 328 Million People, 1004908 Cases / 57812 Deaths - ~5,7% Mortality rate
Spain, Italy, UK, France, Germany and Belgium combined Population: 334 Million, 968784 Cases / 109799 Deaths, over ~11% Mortality Rate
Same as everyone, Johns Hopkins U:
Click Ontario on the map itself, reference Australia down the left hand side.
Going off the most recent data, America has approximately:
> Gov. Cuomo announced Thursday 159,937 New Yorkers had tested positive and 7,067 lost their lives to COVID-19, pulling the state well beyond any other nation on John Hopkins University's tracker.
Look at the graph on the bottom right, "Daily Increase" tab
> Also what people tend to forget is, the point of origin. For China the point of origin is just one. You just have to draw a circle around the point of origin and successfully contained the whole virus. Then track it and draw other circles where ever necessary.
I was with you until this point. That doesn't sound logical. Wouldn't Wuhan, the 9th largest & a major city in China, have people going in & out all the time? The city has an international airport, and sits by the Yangtze river - so the modes of transportation aren't limited.
Speaking of circles, I've been using the dashboard built by John Hopkins to track real time data. Looking at China, they clearly have been impacted outside of Wuhan too. The entire Eastern part seems to have been affected and these are just the official figures.
So, I wonder, where does this idea originate? To me, other parts of China were as susceptible to this virus as other parts of the world; some responded swiftly and some didn't.
This map keeps up to date with Deaths (Except China)
The US has 94k infected and only 1438 deaths this far
Italy has 86k infected and 8215 deaths
France has 29k infected and 1,698 deaths
Spain has 64k infected and 4939 Deaths
Please tell me how badly the US is doing because from over here it looks like Trumps Taskforce is doing a great job keeping people alive.
Yup, New York now makes up the vast majority of cases/deaths. It’s crazy, and of course Cuomo and De Blaiso are just pointing fingers and saying that it’s all Trump’s fault even after it was New York health officals that were pushing that the virus was no big deal and encouraged everyone to go out and celebrate Lunar New year back in January/February.
There are several ways to get this information without annoying the hell out of everybody else in this thread! Check out this site, for instance, or this one
Secondary Source: [link]
Tertiary Source: [link]
Sources that disagree, but might be slightly out of date (as of writing this comment): [link]
As of the current estimates, it took 4 months for the first 250,000 cases to emerge. The next 250,000 emerged in a week.
At the bottom of this page you can get current (to the day) time-series data on confirmed cases and deaths at the county level:
These data were used in this modeling study by researchers at Columbia University (their model was trained on data from 20 Feb 2020 to 13 March 2020): [link]
Johns Hopkins University also has an arcgis tool that visualizes data they are curating from multiple sources which is updated daily:
At the bottom of that page is a github link where you can download their latest csv files, though the data are a mix between cities and counties.
Finally, I don't have the link handy, but the 538 website has curated data from each states' department of public health, where they took screenshots of the webpages at multiple times per day for the last few weeks. To my knowledge those screenshots haven't been translated to an Excel sheet or other delimited file format for easy analysis.
That site has 16,508 deaths out of 378,679 confirmed cases, which is a 4.35% death rate (and that assumes zero currently infected go on to die). If you compare the death rate vs. the recovered rate, you actually have about a 16.5% death rate.
The big caveat to those numbers is it's compared to the number of "confirmed" cases. Since a large number of people are apparently asymptomatic, they have a much higher likelihood of not being counted amongst the confirmed cases, perhaps orders of magnitute above our current number of confirmed cases, which would drop the death rate significantly.
> Australia’s numbers will be exactly like every country with exponential growth.
We are already in exponential growth. Check our graph on the John Hopkins site. We are basically building a vertical wall.
You're right. The seasonal flu has killed 10x as many people worldwide over the same amount of time.
300,000+ each year according to the CDC.
13,600 from Wuhan flu.
But yeah, let's just keep fucking up our economy and destroying our travel and restaurant industries.
This is my preferred liney boi: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
Johns Hopkins has an online GIS map of the pandemic and accompanying graph of official infections. It’s maybe the best visualization I’ve seen so far. The infection rate for areas outside of mainland China became linear like 4 days ago... but outbreaks spread with geometric, not linear, growth. The linearization of the curve actually marks the point at which we hit our maximum testing rate for most of the world— which is linear. So the infection rate at any given time is some unknowable amount above that. And that’s not taking into account asymptomatic carriers and symptomatic people who just aren’t getting tested.
Edit: it sucks on mobile, but here’s the site I was referring to:
Pretty close. Johns Hopkin has 4,645 and BNO has 4,525
I don't think anyone is using CDC #'s.
Este mapa tiene toda la información que buscas: [link]
Lo está usando todo el mundo, que no lo hayas escuchado mas bien habla de que los recuperados no venden pero los muertos si
The John*s* Hopkins data does look up-to-date. I'd support the move to JHU.
JHU is currently reporting:
Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU)
You do not have to wait to be told what to do. You can choose to talk to your family about not going out, about quarantining now in your home. You can choose to make the hard decision early. You can choose to do it while you and your family are still well. You do not need permission to protect yourself. I know all the reasons that will be given on why that's a hard decision, but because something is hard, does not make it impossible. You can choose to stop putting you and your families lives at risk. The people at risk of death may not be you but those people still matter. We all know someone with diabetes, we all know someone affected by cancer, we all know people over 60. You can choose. Just like you would if it was a hurricane, or a tsunami, or other natural disaster. You can choose to do what's needed to protect yourself and your family. If this was a hurricane, you wouldn't wait until you were in the eye of the hurricane to do something. If no one was concerned, we wouldn't be sold out of anything. If no one thought this was serious everything around you would not be shutting down: cruises, travel, schools, public gatherings, events, concerts, giant billion dollar companies, the stock market. You are free to choose.
Hi! To answer your question, very high risk. Don’t want to scare you but give you some feedback..
1)Quarantine yourself. Do not go anywhere where there are people. I understand that for mental sanity you need to breathe air, so taking walks etc is acceptable but wear a mask if possible(N95) and don’t chat with neighbors.
2) food shopping, medication etc, find a way to have it all delivered to your doorstep. When it arrives, spray the containers with Lysol or wipe it down with disinfectant wipes.
3) wash your hands the moment you walk into your home for any time that you leave it. Like a reflex, just go straight to the sink before touching or doing anything else.
4) Any human contact should be done with a mask. I say this simply because you cannot control the behavior of others, you don’t know where they go or what they do. If it’s a family member and you know they aren’t going anywhere, it’s ok. The 6 foot rule they advertise in the US is useless. If someone coughs in the air and leaves or touches a surface and leaves, they infected that space. The space is infectious for a period of time (currently unknown how long) so best to wipe down the surface with wipes.
This is a tracker for worldwide cases if you are interested in following BUT just because these are reported cases does not mean they are the only cases. There are people who have not been tested, waiting on test results, or non symptomatic who could have it. The virus is transmittable before symptoms.
disclaimer: My qualifications extend to being an EMT and an undergrad science degree. I am not a doctor or prescriber. Definitely check with your physicians as well.
Yeah, highly doubtful it isn’t there. Central America and the Caribbean had almost no cases a week ago. Now look. Can’t imagine it just magically skipped Nicaragua.
I mean...you could look at actual verifiable numbers of actual infections and deaths. You are just straight making shit up quoting numbers like 9.8 million.
Here's a great resource: [link]
Spitballin' here, but possibly because China's (reported) rate of infection has flattened out, just check out the smaller graphs on [link]