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I'm sure that's why Consumer Reports doesn't recommend buying a Tesla due to reliability problems.
I'm also sure it's a coincidence this "shower thought" happened the same day the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration began an investigation into Tesla suspensions and safety issues...
BUT...ZOMG guys, it's so safe! May Elon smile upon us!
His moves have been interesting.
I mean, he got his start by getting his hands on an insurance company (he got his first job selling investments and insurance at his father's firm) and realizing due to a legal loophole he could use the insurance float to gamble and keep the winnings. And in the beginning, he was lucky, because gambling with other people's money like that can blow you (and them) up fast.
After he got the initial nest-egg, the move was simply to buy long-famous but otherwise boring brands with lots of name recognition during recessions and build up cash during upturns to buy more distressed brands in the next recession (basically). That part seems to have been pretty smart. But he also does shady shit in the process like outsource as much as possible once he buys it, and horizontally integrate to functionally monopolize small things (for a small example, I bet you can't buy steak sauce at your local supermarket without buying one of Warren's brands--he owns all of them).
I'm not sure his last 20 years or so would have gone so well if the US had initiated any Sherman Act §2 antitrust cases since 1993. But since there have been none, BH can corner little mini-markets like that.
I mean, the overall strategy is not terribly complex. And he one his bet with the hedge fund dudes vs just an index on the S&P. It does require discipline and patience after the first step.
You know my personal reasoning, why things didn't went "2001 - A Space Odyssey" after Apollo.
Aldrin has my sympathy, but he (like many others) sadly don't get that this "gap" since Apollo, never has been an "anomaly", as they believed.
It's been almost 50 years now.
To quote from Stephen Baxter's "Moonseed".
>"In a way Apollo fooled us. Apollo wasn’t a lunar exploration system. All Apollo could do was deliver two guys to a place on the near side of the Moon, not too far from the equator, for three days, at a certain time in the lunar morning. And that was it, and even for that you had to fire off a Saturn V every time. There was no real expansion capability, no logical follow-on.”
And please don't come with "But.. NERVA". NERVA never flew. The successful ground tests didn't proof, that this tech would also work as believed in space.
Heck, just watch this new video put out by Thunderf00t, where he also talks about Apollo and that actually EVERY Apollo mission had a defect, that could have lead to a potential lethal incident. And it almost happend with Apollo 13. And according a book, i have once read, lots of NASA managers were actually secretly glad that the program was ended, before a real lethal incent would have happend. They knew that they had reasoned the technical limits of their time.
Musk is exactly the kind of person who would throw resources into a money pit with no legitimate belief that it will become profitable, putting all faith into his confidence in his own supposed genius (Tesla, Boring).
What evidence we have suggests that SpaceX is barely profitable, and while it might be doing well if everything went right, Musk's habit of cutting corners leads to failures both on launch and landing.
There's an exclusive interview in thetimes.co.uk behind a paywall, and i think the most detailed open account here:
https://edition.cnn.com/2018/07/13/uk/thai-cave-rescue-british-divers-intl/index.html
Short gist: he is a caver that has been in and around those caves for years, was there the very next morning the kids got lost, and convinced Thais to bring in expert divers. Helped further with maps, planning and his in-depth knowledge of the caves. But he doesn't appear to be a diver himself.
Also, look at his instagram . Plenty of caving, no diving
Your car is an ugly, unreliable piece of overpriced garbage. You've got the automotive equivalent of this bag.
I drive a 2008 Civic that I paid $1,200 for, because I don't define my life by the stupid plastic gadgets I own.
I hope I don't upset anyone by doing this but I noticed a comment on this article which was so good, I wanted to copy here:
​
SantaBarbarianLS6Aaron Gordon5/25/19 11:36am
This just in, new “ElonSpeak” definitions:
The word “profits” now means “gushing cash out of every orifice imaginable”
The word “Pedoman” now is an honorific meaning “Brit held in high esteem”
The word “investment” now means “seven succeeding generations of over-promised, under-performing AP hardware”.
The word “LIDAR” now means “low res stick-on cameras on the bumper”
The word “genius” now means “high functioning whackjob with drug problem”
As said, I highly recommend to use this.
https://www.deepl.com/translator
The Translation Quality is much better than Google Translate. Only downside is that it lacks an URL translator.
But wait a min.......
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​
Honestly, about what it is right now (~$300). Despite what this sub thinks, it's not a few thousand Elon fanatics keeping Tesla afloat, it's large institutional investors. Since those investors think there is a slim chance Tesla could be worth a lot of money in the future. Also the fact that Tesla owns a bunch of electric car and battery patents. Those two markets are going to be worth a lot even if Tesla fails.
Saying that Tesla is worth more/less then what it is now means you think you know more then what the smart money knows. Which 90% of the time, you don't.
RemindMe! 1 year "Is Tesla still in business? Is the stock still around 300?"
No.
Stock options are stock options.
Stocks are stocks.
Money is money.
By your logic, lottery tickets are money, moon rocks are money, hot is cold, and black is white. It's totally ridiculous.
There's no way to predict the market price of stock options that vest in 4 years. If you could do that, you don't need a job, you could just win at the market all day and make your money day trading.
If you did such a foolish exercise as trying to assign a non-market value to stock options you expect to be written 4 years from now, and added that into any sort of number, then you'd be seriously deluded and wasting your time.
They could literally be worth anything from $0 to $∞.
Since you don't seem to understand how this stuff works, here's a primer.
i asked my (former) google engineer friend for help explaining why the behavior you're seeing is happening, and this is what they came up with.
what's going on here is that for searches containing the phrases pedo, pedophile, and pedophilia, all reddit results are removed. try it yourself, search for pedo site:reddit.com and you won't get any results, but search for, say, pedo site:cnn.com, and you will get tons of results. this is probably because, as you'll find on independent indexes like https://search.brave.com, the results for pedophile site:reddit.com specifically aren't something that advertisers would like very much. one of these less savory results probably bubbled up to the top of the list one day and they removed it to avoid a bad news article.
elon's still cringe though, just not cringe enough to get google to mess with search results (though the wikipedia manipulation stuff is pretty funny)
Does EEElon know who wrote Shawshank Redemption?
A bachelor in Physics is enough to say he can read engineering textbooks and figure out what they mean without having to go back to study calculus or whatever.
I believe him that he left the PhD because he thought the opportunity to make money on the early internet was too good to miss. And he did make make building and selling zip2.
The people interviewed for Eric Berger's Liftoff (https://www.amazon.com/Liftoff-Desperate-Early-Launched-SpaceX/dp/0062979973) were pretty candid.
Tom Mueller, former head of propulsion at SpaceX, father of record setting Merlin and Raptor engines and possibly the best rocket engineering currently working in the world, thinks that people who say that Elon is not technical are hilariously wrong.
> what you saw explode was the "rip cord" attached to the fuel tank. Exactly as it was designed to do.
Please leave your conspiracy theory bullshit to someone else.
> It was test platform for engine gimbaling.
Do you need a refresher on what a prototype is? There you go! I'm pretty sure that Grasshopper (or rather F9R Dev1, which is the second test vehicle they've used) is the first example of their landing hardware, from which later F9 landing hardware was developed.
>Well weeks before they detonated it on purpose Gwynne was saying that they were going to.
Source? A quick google search didn't find it and I'm not going to waste my time searching more than a few minutes. And even if she did say the exactly same thing, refering directly to this exact flight ^((my bet is that you propably pulled it straight out of your asshole or you just lack in basic reading/hearing comprehension skills, just like flat earthers that think that Buzz Aldrin admited Moon landings to be faked, but honestly I wouldn't be surprised if you were one of them, the verbal diarhea that you spew out all over this site is on similar level to theirs)) the PR boost that you think they would get (somehow?) would immidiately be negated by the fact that they've admitted it to be a failure.
> I will say, for breaking news and stuff, it's a great way to keep up.
This book was life changing for me, even if the author is a bit full of himslef. Anway, one of the observations is that constant news feeds are toxic. Much better to just read the Economist on Saturday or the Sunday edition of the New York Times. The news will have been digested, researched and accurate. And there is nothing you can not about on an a day by day basis anyway.
Elon Musk: "Hehe Monkes get the brain chip"
Monkeys' brain: (endless mobile game ADs play, and NordVPN commercials while eating food makes them unable to swallow food)
Musk: "Are you ready to get to Mars, my 420 Monkes?"
[Monkeys die off]
You just reinforced my point. When the Model S was rated below average it was the only car. And guess what
>No other company has ever fallen so rapidly in reliability ratings.
Maybe that's because 100 years ago there were no such ratings at all to compare Tesla with.
The Model S is 4 years old, and not only it is a high end product compared to the car industry today, it has to meet 21. century automotive standards. Even if you had similar reliability ratings back in the time when other car manufacturers started out, no comparison would make sense at all.
And yet all manufacturers have callbacks all the time. Model S was named the #1 car in the world within 3 years of it's production.
http://www.consumerreports.org/cro/magazine/2015/04/consumer-reports-10-top-picks-of-2015/index.htm
But just go on and name other new car manufacturers that have comparable influence on the car industry. And clean energy storage and production, to be exact.
>written in the best traditions of Marxist journalism
oh, certainly no agenda in that one! i'll add that to my to-read list after "Moscow Bullets" by Joseph McCarthy.
"Location of Tesla accident in Ticino, Switzerland
Tracing route of May 10, 2018 Tesla accident at Monte Ceneri, Switzerland. Video recorded around 2:40pm local time. My driving speed was 78 km/h (50 mph)"
Yea, when it became good for business, Ford opposed WWII. See here
*Ford opposed America’s entry into World War II, blaming the conflict once more on “international bankers,” well-known code words for “Jews.” In 1938, the automaker received the Grand Cross of the German Eagle from Nazi Germany. The Nazi award incensed many Americans who had refused for years, even decades, to buy Ford products.
However, when Ford’s grandson, Henry Ford II, assumed control of the company in 1945, he began a lifelong campaign to support both the American Jewish community and the State of Israel — positive efforts that helped erase much of his grandfather’s negative impact. In addition, “Hank the Deuce,” as he was called, played a major role in the development of the philanthropic Ford Foundation.*
You can’t tell me that the dude who wrote The International Jew wasn’t antisemitic.
> Reminder that almost all Elon Musk fans are below the age of 15
Confirming you're correct that, if not almost all, a large percentage are around that age.
So: guess who's going to be running the world in 15 then (even more so) 2x15 years from now.
There is no over population, only in Africa and it's only because nobody care they are not feed properly.
Actually, X.com, Elon Musk's company, merged with Confinity. But hey, keep the lies and fraud going in order to rewrite history just to bash Musk, right? Anyway, the companies merged and the new merged company was renamed PayPal. But facts, what the hell? Who needs facts, right?
And yes, of course. SpaceX, founded by Elon Musk, is just PR! Anyone could have done it! Reusable rockets are so easy! That's why NASA was skeptical of them a few years ago!
And yes, it's so easy to launch astronauts into space! That's why it's done on a routine basis in America! Indeed.
And Tesla? PFFFFFF, who cares about the likes of Volkswagen saying that Tesla is well ahead of the rest, right? PR! All PR! The record-breaking range and performance too! Just an illusion! Pure PR!
And as for Musk's background, he ran away from home at 17, dirt-poor, and had to start over in Canada. But screw facts! PR PR PR!
Gimmicks like revolutionizing the auto industry or sending reusable rockets into space, which everyone said couldn't be done?
https://slashdot.org/story/14/05/07/0410242/nasa-france-skeptical-of-spacex-reusable-rocket-project
the first US satellite was actually a spy satellite but the US told the world it was for gathering weather data
Eying The Red Storm is a great book (a bit dry though) about the early space race/satellite era
https://www.amazon.com/Eyeing-Red-Storm-Eisenhower-Satellite/dp/0803255721
Haha. I can agree with you on all that. I have no idea what the initial Series A split was, but I agree with your percentages on principle.
I also agree with your other comment that Elon should have been told no. I just hate to see Eberhard get such bad treatment by Muskies whenever Tesla wouldn't exist without him either. I don't recall Elon publicly stating an intention to build an electric car prior to his involvement with Eberhard and Tarpenning, but if you know anything about that I'd honestly like to know. [I haven't read any books on Tesla or Elon, but I did enjoy "Steve Jobs & The NeXT Big Thing" when I read it 20 years ago]
There's lots of articles about how Elon wanted to make "the fundamental change to clean energy" from say 2006 onward, but try to find any public statement or interview of Elon prior to January 2004 that mentions an electric car. I tried using Google Search + Tools with a custom date range, but I haven't found anything so far.
I do believe Elon deserves credit were it's due.
First of all I will say that no matter what you look at, physics is one of those things where you can never be "correct" per se without understanding the math. That goes double for QM which is math all the way down. No matter how you explain it, you will always find that "but what about this exception" can be answered to your satisfaction only by getting a mathematically rigorous treatment of the topic.
That said, for understanding quantum on a "fun" level (i.e. skipping a couple of years of calculus, linear algebra, and numerical analysis), I'd recommend Richard Feynman's QED: The Strange Theory of Light and Matter. A very well-known and highly respected physicist with a talent for teaching. Although "quantum electrodynamics" as covered in the book is not strictly QM as generally imagined, he does cover the core of what is at interest in quantum theory (electromagnetic interactions at a subatomic level) in a pretty interesting and decently understandable way. That sounds like about what you're looking for.