Czech 1.Division

Dukla Prag - Sparta Prag 2 @ 1.83

Sparta Prag, second in the league with currently a good run in the league an beating Krasnodar in europe advancing to the next round. Playing on monday so this EL match won't have drastic effects on Sparta. Also Sparta won every competitive match this year (2 League, 2 Europe) and the last matches between them were 4 Sparta win out of 5 by a goal difference of at least 2. A single 1:0 home win by Dukla from the year 2014. Dukla sits at 10th (in a league of 16) and lost the last match against the now 11th Bohemians.

I don't see Sparta will lose any points here to keep up with league leaders Viktoria Plznen (they are 6 points ahead, but also 1 game more than Sparta)

will probably combine with games from portugal (O2.5), Brighton W and Besiktas-Fener BTTS.

little update: odds for Sparta W fell from 1.83 to 1.66 (bet365)

found another good value ^^combined ^^with ^^pretty ^^safe ^^benfica ^^& ^^sporting ^^wins ^^= ^^3.86 ^^acca

Southhampton U21 - Chelsea U21 2 @ 2.10 or 2 DNB @ 1.66

Premier League U21 Table

• Overall Standings: Chelsea 7th - Saints 9th
• Form Standings: Chelsea 2nd - Saints 11th (second last)
• Chelsea Away
  • Overall: 5th
  • Form: 3th
• Saints Home
  • Overall: 12th
  • Form: 12th

1. Only one pick today. One stupid pick. It must be win. Bucheon is in the better condition last time. They're playing on their own stadium, where they won with Suwon City for example.

Void some strange, wild leagues. Well, to be honest, I didn't thought teams like Fluminense can fix their matches, but it's truth link to the match.

Which leagues I prefer to void betting on statistics and analisis?

• All latin leagues, they are mastered in fixing matches, trust me.

• Balkan leagues, especially Croatia.

• Lower Spanish and Italian leagues.

• Lower scandinavian leagues

• Many of asian leagues like Indonesia, Bangladesh, India, Thailand, Japan, China.

• Youngsters leagues.

It's just my suggestions, you don't have to follow them, but by observing these leagues I know that many of these matches are just fixed in many ways and it not worth to put money on propably corrupted matches. I started to void these leagues and my bankroll increased.

Ayo guys, I won't be making any picks, but I just wanted to point this absurd thing out:

This past round, every game in Eerste Divisie in Netherlands except for ended in O2.5

And well, the only game not to go O2.5 was the team that had the most overs until this round (Emmen). Crazy league with high scoring.

<em>Source</em>

>Hart

>Clyne Cahill Smalling Bertrand

>Henderson Dier Wilshere

>Sturridge Vardy Lallana

i send round a pdf so i'll just post it on here as well, then everyone can use it. I can do it this week if you want but it's not great as some data is broken as we haven't had both a home and an away game week yet (until after this weekend) - hold on i'll upload it now.

links:

https://mega.nz/#!1kljnQ6Z!EdrvbB6x0kV1INMKLeTpCQHbWdnKwv4XJt56Y_cf3cY https://mega.nz/#!osc2BTwa!SD8h5KhYpgJvzbzLeebjrShnb-XJ4-AH5z6TpRGq9kU

Challenge #1

Sao Paulo scores 2 goals in 27 minutes and bet 3 is a winner. I don't fancy anything in the brazilian matches today (just 3 matches) so I'm going to the Premier League.

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Remember: I do these Challenges for FUN and you should do your own research before placing your bets and NEVER bet more than you can afford to LOSE!

Possible wintrade, bet on http://www.flashscore.com/match/z3bo6ZZK/#h2h;overall Paderborn here.

edit: First match of the season , so in the second part of the season expect a 99% Paderborn win. I bet a lot on wintrades, but dont post often here. Clasic example is Lorient - Touluse , won a lot of units few weeks ago when they played. Expect the same when they play in second part of season. http://www.flashscore.com/match/dxk040aD/#h2h;overall . Also there are some win trades in england lower divisions , i can post later the ones i know for.

Forza Maybe it is on iPhone too.

EDIT: Found it for iPhone. Link

hey mate, i have somewhat similar situation. we cannot make regular transactions to foreign bookmakers, but i tried via Neteller and it worked. none of the other services did. hope this helps.

also, if you want to go wherever you want online no matter the government prohibition you can use https://www.torproject.org/

cheers!

I missed this thread, but I'm currently doing exactly this as a side job in Germany. I mainly cover 3. Liga, U19s or Regionalliga Nordost games. I don't work for runningball but am familiar with them.

I work for another company. I report on the game live while speaking with an operator. At this level they're mainly focused on goals, corners and red cards. I'm requested to report shots on target and yellow cards, but I don't think this information is really used for smaller games. I think my own company might have a second operator, but I'm not so sure.

Here's a 'fun' fact: I was at the Hertha - Braunschweig U19 game on Saturday afternoon. Flashscore has the first Hertha goal as a penalty, but the penalty was actually saved and the rebound was scored. Not sure where they take the data from, but their provider was wrong.

EDIT: With my company, the status is as follows:

Team Safe/Possession: Team has the ball within 35m of their own goal Team Attack: Team is in possession around the centre circle Dangerous Attack: Team is in possession within 35m of the opponent's goal

Ok guys, this is starting to get just absolutely out of hand, I just cant believe what I am seeing. Going for Melgarejo to score for Kuban Krasondar, 9.00 odds, 1200 NOK stake... http://imgur.com/zah1Kuu

What do you think happend? Take a look yourself... http://www.flashscore.com/match/O2gokp45/#match-summary

I use LastPass to conveniently and securely use passwords for everything online, professional and personal. Use the Chrome/Firefox plugin for maximum convenience (generate new, secure passwords for new sites when you sign up, autofill username/password for logins, etc).

Just make sure you have a long, difficult-to-guess master password written down somewhere safe and you're set. I don't know how I lived without it.

If you're worried about having all your online life data-siloed, you can also do a data export of your LastPass accounts, and import into an open-source password manager like KeePas, which you could keep secure on a USB somewhere in your possession.

Mobile livesore by Sportradar AG Shows you form of teams, last meetings, probable line ups, average goals and more important information. You can choose to get notified when a match starts, half time score, goals, cards. https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=ag.sportradar.android.livescore.base

They put money into improving training facilities about ten years ago I think, country has benefited from it massively

edit: Excellent article on it

https://www.theguardian.com/football/2016/jun/08/iceland-stunning-rise-euro-2016-gylfi-sigurdsson-lars-lagerback

I'm not great at math, i just starting fooling around yesterday, and suddenly i got really interested, and just started researching the different leagues, and i started typing the statistics into excel, and as time went on i just added more stuff, and suddenly the information played together. Now all i need to do is type the score, and how the first half ended (1 x 2, home/away) and it's updated.

This is what i have so far. It's nothing special, but what i wanted to do was to like compare two teams when they play (Barcelona vs Coruna tonight for example), and then see if i can somehow pick a favorite, and ideally, see how much the game is favoring a win, draw or loss.

This is the ark.. Don't laugh please!

Ok now I am getting scared for real. What is going on. Picking Rosenborg to win (http://imgur.com/DxIzo2b). The match ends 1-1.....penalty miss in the 88th minute by Rosenborg... http://www.flashscore.com/match/0pAcDHK4/#match-summary

Now I got one bet left, thats Sporting -1.5....can't wait Edit: Phew Sporting missed a penalty, but they managed to cover -1.5

There are some games tomorrow but not great value in them. I found one solid bet though:

Espanyol vs Valencia - O2.5 @ 1.9 - LOSS (2-0), well Valencia was short handed for most of the game so that probably does it, they didn't go through in the end so I highly doubt "lack of motivation" here

• Their last 10 games ended up in O2.5

• They've both gone over 61.11% in Primera thus far

• Espanyol has gone over in their last 7 games in Primera. They also went over in their last game against Valencia (away). I think the value is definitely here, based purely of statistics, so this will be my pick for day. I might also go with O2.5 and BTTS @2.15, which also seems good.

St.Etienne - PSG - St.Etienne to LOSS. Well bad day for me. It happens.

• I'm really thinking St.Etienne could score against PSG. They have had clean sheet just 4 times out of 17 this season (all comps, when playing away).

• St.Etienne on other hand, hasn't managed to score in just 4 times out of 15.

• I'm not sure about this second pick, and would like some thoughts and critics if there are any.

I've tracked the predictions at some point and it was pretty bad (40% accuracy).

Here's my csv archive of forecasts from them.

EDIT: seems like the first link is dead. should be available here now

Hi man,

I made a manual tracker on Android called BetTrax. It's nothing fancy, I mainly made it to keep track of deposits/withdrawals.

Also on iOS too for those who want to check it out.

France Ligue 2 Nancy vs Clermont

Nancy must be reeling a little right now, as we discussed last week, the goals had started to dry up and then, when they finally score three, they concede four at home, after giving up just five in their previous ten starts here ! Today they host a Clermont team who are in third and looking to close the (now only) six point gap to league leading Nancy, but they themselves have some Nimes demons to deal with, after conceding six to them on their last away day ! However, the visitors are one game removed from their disaster and at least got back on track with a 2-1 win over Le Havre last weekend, so their mental scars have already started the healing process. Having said that, it will be interetsing to see how the team who concedes first today reacts. One thing we know about Clermont is that they have goals in them and they have scored two or more in their last five starts and nine on their last four visits to Nancy, games which have averaged 4.25 goals per game. Hosts are without top scoring forward Youssouf Hadji , defensive midfielder Diallo Guidileye, who was sorely missed last week and ever present goalkeeper Guy-Roland N'Dy Assembe and that team news will have the visitors rubbing their hands with glee ! Clermont arrive without defensive midfielder Michel Espinosa and they do concede more in his absence, but are otherwise in good shape and in a match better place in terms of team news than Nancy.

I think that the Nancy odds are again wrong and have to opt for ..........

Clermont +0.75 ball 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket

Access More Betting Previews With The Mobile App

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.clubgowi2.clubgowi2

bet365 is licensed in most countries so it depends where you’re going. William Hill works with ExpressVPN and I’ve discovered that most betting sites work if you use a mobile browser rather than the app or desktop

i run a big model that i've been building and tweeking over the years. If you search on this subreddit for my name you'll see a few posts where i explain (breifly) the model and provide the pdf that it spits out at the end.

here's an example from a few weeks back:

https://mega.nz/#!JhUTTZrJ!aAxeG7hN6g1kXy0VJgE9aYRZXo_OXmE1iCeoUs2XNFw

it's a mixture of different techniques and inputs. but its getting profits now which is nice!

the major components are:

• Bespoke Elo ratings calucaltions

• Goal supremacy

• Goal expectancy theory with a very bespoke model of shots, goals, injuries, performance etc etc

• dyads and triads

• past history data from the last several years

edit - forgot to say thanks!

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Current ROI of 31% (verified at Oddsportal: http://www.oddsportal.com/profile/TotalSoccerPicks/)

I wish I could somehow get notifications from reddit lol. Didn't notice these Copa picks :(

Edit: solved!

All the betting ones I have listened to are more entertainment that actually providing good picks so it depends what you are looking for. I've stopped listening to them altogether. After an hour you have just been listening to 2 or 3 guys laugh with eachother and provide some picks of the same standard as the average guy in the pub. It would be better to listen to non gambling football podcasts and use anything you hear in that to decide on your own picks https://player.fm/featured/soccer

FOTMOB maybe? It doesn't have an average of odds but it shows BET365's odds and a range of stats, for example:

https://www.fotmob.com/livescores/3411627/matchfacts/southampton-vs-brighton-&amp;-hove-albion

Not exactly what you've been looking for, but when you download the app off of http://www.flashscore.com/ you'll get an extra tab with odds for various markets, no too many bookies listed in there, but some of the biggest ones

http://www.flashscore.com/team/sheikh-russel-krira-chakra/Qq4qoVai/

They seem to think it was an 11:15 kick-off but Betfair are saying that it's at 14:00 https://www.betfair.com/sport/football

Betfair also said it had been rescheduled to 14:00 on Twitter yesterday.

Futbol24 are saying 0-0 but tbh I'm not sure what's happening, someone else said it might've been rained off.

http://www.futbol24.com/national/Bangladesh/Bangladesh-League/2015/

Flashscore meanwhile are saying 'Awaiting Updates'..

http://www.flashscore.com/soccer/bangladesh/premier-league/

I doubt it's televised :(

I had the game's flashscore window up while browsing the thread. Not important enough of a game for live stats so no idea how the game is actually going.

I need to scroll sideways to read your text.

There is tools you can use that help you to adjust the post so it looks better and is much easier to read.

If you use mozilla ---> https://addons.mozilla.org/sv-se/firefox/addon/reddit-enhancement-suite/

To get a neutral font you can use a notepad to cut and paste it in and clean up the fonts.

I use that alot when I prepare my picks and cut and paste stuff from different pages.

I like gedit but it may not be anything for you. At least I can show it to you and you can decide if its useful

https://wiki.gnome.org/Apps/Gedit

You should try NordVPN and switch to the Lynx protocol. Express has never gotten me access whenever I needed it but Nord has never failed me. The only issue I’ve ever had with Nord “not working” was when I was in Dubai due to their firewall in place similar to China. Switching to the Lynx protocol on Nord worked like a charm.

I would suggest getting yourself a copy of this book, one of the best on the subject and covers stuff such as chi-square to determine which models are a best fit.

DEAR CUSTOMER OUR COMBO TCIKET HIGH RISKY 
YOU HAVE TO FOCUS BEFORE YOU CHOICE OUR TICKET AND DONT FORGET TO BET WHAT YOU CAN AFROD TO LOSE

19 - 12 - 2019

COMBO TICKET 1
17:30 Panionios - PAOK : away win / 1.30
15:15 Aris - Volos : under 3.5 greece / 1.39
Total : 1.80
COMBO TICKET 2
19:45 Cambuur - Feyenoord : away win / 1.67
17:30 Groningen - Utrecht : under 3.5 /1.40
Total : 2.33

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Can recommend this book about an Irish guy that became addicted to gambling, called 'Tony 10': https://www.amazon.co.uk/gp/product/B079NC236M/ref=ppx_yo_dt_b_d_asin_title_o07?ie=UTF8&amp;psc=1

If you put it back in, you will lose it, ultimately, at some point. You're even aware of the flawed logic you're using. Take the money, walk away, try and find something else to distract yourself with I guess.

Hey /u/FrenchBreadFTW. If you can have all the necessary docs for the KYC process, why not? I don't know about odds (french vs. UK bookies) but I would assume you might get some better odds with UK Bookies (even on non-Chinese League bets). So if you can have a proof of address in a UK country, just go for it. I use VPNUK and they are perfect, btw.

As for the bookie, I would say Bet365 (I imagine you like alternative markets) or Betfair (if you are into trading). If you like the transfer market, skybet. If you like to get bonuses, just go for each and every bookie.

Does Pinnacle allow for french users? That would be the best option.

Fantasy iTeam lets you setup a mini league with friends

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.fantasyiteam.fitepl1213.activity&amp;hl=en_GB https://itunes.apple.com/gb/app/mirror-fantasy-iteam-mobile-fantasy-football/id445839722?mt=8

The bigger disparity between the teams, the more the goals. The less disparity between the teams, the less the goals. This is down to a number of factors:

• Loss aversion. If two teams are near each other in the table, the game is more likely to be important so a club would rather not lose than risk a loss to get a win.
• Organisation and teamwork can be taught, creativity can't. It is far easier for a team to defend than it is to break down a defence.

https://www.amazon.co.uk/Definitive-Betting-Football-Racing-Expert/dp/1905153651 is a good book that goes more into the first two sentences I wrote.

I read the book The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Soccer Is Wrong by Chris Anderson. Its not specifically about betting but it covers alot of great analysis about football that can totally apply to betting. It was a great read, definitely changed the way I understand the game and what kind of bets I was making.

Amazon Link: https://www.amazon.ca/Numbers-Game-Everything-About-Soccer/dp/0143124560/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1465081904&amp;sr=8-1&amp;keywords=the+numbers+game

"SR livescore"

Its now called .. Mobile livescore apparently.

Covers every major sport. Has form tables. Previous results.. Confirmed line ups for most major games.

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=ag.sportradar.android.livescore.base is the android store link.

It was recommended here before on a thread like this. It's so good it's the only thing I use now. I can't recommend it enough.

I used to use flash score.. But for some reason it was constantly buggy. This wasn't for me.

Mobile livesore by Sportradar AG

Shows you form of teams, last meetings, probable line ups, average goals and more important information.

You can choose to get notified when a match starts, half time score, goals, cards.

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=ag.sportradar.android.livescore.base